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UAE financials expected to grow YoY to AED 12.05 bln

UAE financials expected to grow YoY to AED 12.05 bln
DIB
DIB
0.53% 5.73 0.03
Aldar
ALDAR
0.00% 5.45 0.00
Emaar
EMAAR
0.24% 8.38 0.02
The UAE’s aggregate earnings (based on 23 companies) are expected to grow by 8% YoY (+3% QoQ to AED12.05 billion, driven by Financials and Industrials, Energy & Utilities.

On the corporate level, Emaar Properties (EMAAR.DFM) and Dubai Islamic Bank (DIB.DFM) are expected to report 39% and 52% higher earnings in Q2-14, respectively. However, aggregate earnings growth is expected to be muted by Real Estate (-14% YoY), specifically a 46% expected drop in Aldar Properties’ (ALDAR.ADX) earnings due to one-time gain on business combination related to its acquisition of Sorouh’s assets a year ago. Adjusting for Aldar’s one-off item, UAE’s aggregate earnings would be expected to ring up a 20% YoY growth.

Historically, UAE companies’ revenues and earnings beat rates have jumped to 41% and 53% in 2013, up from 33% and 49% in 2012, respectively. For the past four quarters on average, Real Estate and Financials topped earnings’ estimates by (+67% and +12%), respectively, with Telecom Services & IT the only sector missing (-3%).